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Ponderings For the Week of July 16 to 22, 2018

Stocks Continue to Surge

More tariffs didn’t scare the stock market last week. But, while stocks as a whole fared quite well the strength has not been broad-based of late. Some sectors have advanced nicely, utilities and consumer staples, for example, while others have slumped, like financial and industrial stocks. Lest you worry that you have missed the sector winners, Wall Street analysts predict that later this year, the losers will recover while the winners will lag. That is the nature of things and another reason why it’s wise to stay broadly diversified across stock sectors rather than try to separate the leaders from the laggards.

Quarterly earnings season is always important and second quarter results are proceeding apace. Among the corporations issuing reports this week are Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Johnson & Johnson, and IBM. Many are expected to report substantial year over year profit increases which should be well received by traders.   




Big Ticket Items Tell a Lot

In speaking with individuals and families over the years, I've found that how they handle big-ticket items, particularly the home, is a reliable indicator of how well they are preparing for retirement. I've talked with numerous singles and couples up and down the income ladder who by middle age have accumulated a lot of retirement money, both in and outside of their retirement plans and have little or no debt (more on that below). The vast majority of them have one thing in common:  the value of their homes—or the amount of their rent—is way below what they could currently afford. There’s no reason why anyone has to own a home commensurate with his or her income. Warren Buffet and closet millionaires in your community don’t have to own a mansion or drive a designer car. Despite a growing income, the notion of buying trophy homes doesn't even enter these millionaires’ minds. Rather, they’re quite content living well beneath their means. You probably know some people who take the opposite tack – serial homeowners. The upshot is that by the time they start thinking seriously about retirement, they’ve probably built up some equity in their houses over the years, but that equity pales in comparison with the buildup in their mortgages. That’s why last decade’s housing crisis, initially affecting low-income families, also afflicted higher-income homeowners who began the crisis with little equity in their expensive homes and found themselves with negative equity.    

Whatever your housing situation, financial decisions you (and your younger generation family members) make will have a big effect on your financial security. Devotees of what I like to call The New Affluence will prefer a more modest lifestyle including owning a perfectly wonderful home that is modest in relation to their financial circumstances.




Smart Money Tips

A couple of shopping suggestions:

  • Don’t buy something just because you have a coupon. Whatever you’re buying – food, hardware, lawn fertilizer, clothing, it doesn’t matter – you should buy only what you’re going to use. Sometimes you may be tempted to buy something just because you have a coupon – I mean, a bargain is a bargain. But a bargain becomes a waste of money if you really don’t need the item.
  • Don’t bring your spouse or partner food shopping. They’re more likely to impede your shopping by questioning items in the cart or going off on their own selecting unneeded or overpriced products. If your spouse or partner insists on going, tell him or her to sit in the car. By the way, there is one thing that’s worse than bringing your spouse food shopping and that’s bringing your children.





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